Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 3.563178 3.786495 4.024672 4.299016 4.608103 4.947739 5.352212
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.382139 3.698364 4.053731 4.487768 5.010920 5.631262 6.438831
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.118246 3.479520 3.901140 4.439371 5.123718 5.988651 7.208318
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.883599 3.269616 3.733992 4.348977 5.167868 6.264476 7.934920
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.698367 3.102277 3.601289 4.284408 5.234137 6.579929 8.801326
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.549481 2.967553 3.496621 4.243463 5.325569 6.948131 9.865918
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.464996 2.907537 3.482389 4.322122 5.598234 7.647298 11.768668
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.306983 2.740674 3.312092 4.162837 5.491423 7.713645 12.515445
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.231315 2.677891 3.278410 4.197709 5.693341 8.359702 14.858967
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.153609 2.607067 3.227596 4.200945 5.844045 8.955233 17.548896
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.049199 2.493609 3.108235 4.086885 5.777776 9.108121 19.160832
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.957361 2.393013 3.001323 3.983269 5.716889 9.262525 20.983858
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.915239 2.368058 3.015225 4.095933 6.111909 10.674192 30.654438
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.886446 2.360310 3.054570 4.257828 6.648601 12.787594 55.688971
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.809843 2.278595 2.974439 4.204948 6.738038 13.760078 86.816840
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.732023 2.191055 2.879412 4.116000 6.734968 14.480804 143.912524
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.665939 2.117709 2.802232 4.052132 6.780055 15.451557 369.094069
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.609738 2.056430 2.740492 4.010893 6.873662 16.744906 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.578658 2.031545 2.736156 4.078685 7.258744 19.844544 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.510691 1.946954 2.627881 3.932125 7.054022 19.796926 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.478772 1.916674 2.608678 3.961600 7.337717 23.039034 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.444194 1.880582 2.577266 3.962880 7.546702 26.409858 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.394557 1.818845 2.498594 3.858599 7.421044 27.069306 NaN